Sunday, February 11, 2024

Data provides a scientific prediction for today's Super Bowl

Today is the ultimate game: Super Bowl 58 (I refuse to use Roman numerals. I haven't used them since I was forced to learn about them when I was XIV years old. They're II hard II remember, like trying to remember what you VIII for dinner a week ago).

Today's game matches two of the NFL's preseason favorites, the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. If this sounds familiar, it's because it is: The teams met in the Super Bowl four years ago, when the Chiefs stole a 31-20 victory that was (according to a rumor I just made up), the decisive moment in the spread of the COVID-19 virus that hammered the globe a month later.

It really should be called the Chiefs virus.

So who wins today? As a longtime sports fan and former sports editor, I rely on the same tool that I trusted to help us deal with the pandemic that the Chiefs released on us four years ago: Science. Or  more accurately, data, which isn't science, but play along with me.

Numerous factors will determine today's final score and they're listed here. Experts have analyzed the information and provided a specific point total for each category. Ready? Here are the factors for today's game:

Regular season wins: We start simple. The 49ers won 12 games, the Chiefs 11. We multiply that by six and it's six points for the 49ers.

Commercials: This is ranked on a scale of one to seven. The Chiefs have those Patrick Mahomes (and Andy Reid) State Farm commercials that are pretty funny. Add Travis Kelce (see below) and then compare it to the 49ers' local commercials. This is a blowout. Chiefs get seven.

City image: San Francisco is one of the world's most famous cities. It's the Golden Gate. It was the center of the Summer of Love. There are probably a dozen songs about it. Even people who claim San Francisco is overrun with homeless drug abusers know about the city. Kansas City? It's where the Chiefs play. That's all we know. 49ers get 11 points for this. It's not even close.

Star players: Patrick Mahomes is the biggest star in the NFL and Travis Kelce is famous for football and other reasons (see below). Even though the Niners have their share of stars (Christian McCaffery, Nick Bosa, Deebo Samuel, Brock Purdy), it's a win for the Chiefs. Four points for Kansas City.

History: The Chiefs won two of the past four Super Bowls and are playing in their fourth Super Bowl in five years. But . . . the 49ers are in their eighth Super Bowl and have five championships. Tradition says the 49ers get six points for this.

Players' significant others: Kristin Juszczyk, the wife of 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk, became famous when she designed a jacket for a blonde woman who is somehow related to or friends with someone on the Chiefs and that woman got on TV. People loved the jacket. Nobody on the Chiefs has a wife or girlfriend even half as famous as Kristin Juszczyk. Four points for the 49ers.

Famous brothers: Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is famous because of a relationship: He is the brother of All-Pro center Jason Kelce. Nick Bosa's brother Joey is an NFL player, but he's not Jason Kelce famous. Six points for the Chiefs.

That's it. That's the data. Add up the points and get the final score. This would have been a blowout, but Travis Kelce has a relationship with someone famous. His brother.

San Francisco 27, Kansas City 17

Reach Brad Stanhope at brad.stanhope@outlook.com.



No comments:

Post a Comment